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Market making on traditional prediction markets is often a losing game. High-frequency bots “pick off” market makers whenever news breaks, and public profiles make it easy to copy or front-run successful quotes. Likely is built to protect the Market Maker.

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The Maker Advantage

Likely’s architecture offers three unique advantages that make it the most profitable place to provide liquidity.

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Earning from Tips

Tips aren’t just for priority; they are a payment for the risk you take in providing liquidity.
  • Successful Fills: 100% of the taker’s tip is distributed to the makers whose orders were matched.
  • Protocol Backup: If you pull your quotes during extreme volatility, the Protocol Liquidity Fund (funded by failed bundle tips) steps in to keep the market stable.

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Protecting Against “Toxic Flow”

Toxic flow happens when a trader with faster information picks off your old price before you can update it.
  • In the Old Way: The faster bot wins 100% of the time.
  • On Likely: Every 500ms auction window gives you a chance to react. You have time to Cancel or Amend your quotes before the auction closes, neutralizing the speed advantage.

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Capital Efficiency

As a market maker, your capital should always be working.

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Why Likely is the Best Home for Makers

By eliminating the latency arms race and rewarding value provision (via tips), Likely creates a healthier environment for professional liquidity providers. Tighter spreads, deeper books, and protected profits.

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Next Steps